Section I · Today's actions

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Plays.

Today's curated plays — filtered through AI thesis universe → signal win-rate ≥60% → position-aware → 3-specialist council. Need a primer?

9 candidates evaluated6/1/2026, 7:05:00 AM

Verdict colors: green = take it (STRONG BUY / BUY / SELL PUT) amber = watch / wait red = avoid

⚡ GEX flip — our top signal

3 of today's plays fire on it

70% win rate73 tracked trades$74K shadow P&L

When dealers flip from short-gamma to long-gamma, their hedging flow stops fighting the move and starts amplifying it — a directional tailwind. This is the same signal the shadow book trades; the plays below tagged GEX_FLIP inherit this record.

Today's plays — 7, ranked by conviction

One list, highest-conviction first. Each card opens to its Final Read: verdict, the exact order to place, signal track record, plain-English fundamentals, and a 7-gate checklist.

1/7CALLLLY $11002026-07-02 · 31d—

STRONG BUY · 100+16% 30d · healthy rungex flip›

The final readSTRONG BUYconviction 100/100

STRONG BUY: betting on LLY upside. Why: all 3 specialists agree. Also: GEX_FLIP signal wins 70% (73 trades tracked).

Place this order

buy $1100C / sell $1140C 2026-07-02 — net debit ≤ $1,800

Signal recordGEX_FLIP 70%over 73 tracked trades · $74K shadow P&L

Fairly valued — This company generates real cash (free cash flow +$11.8B/yr — money left after running the business); growing modestly (+11% revenue/yr); strong returns on shareholder money (ROE 107%); priced at 30× earnings (richer than the ~24× sector norm).

✓In AI thesis universe (T3-UW)

✓3-specialist council: STRONG

✓Signal track record: GEX_FLIP 70% over 73 trades

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: fair

○Sizing: single leg too big — resized to a spread

1/7T3-UW

✓✓✓STRONG

Action

Buy 1× LLY $1100C 2026-07-02

@ ~$43.50 on green-day continuation

Premium

~$43.50

Cost

$4K

DTE

31d

Score

91/100

↓ Smaller versionsingle leg ≈ $4K — too rich for a momentum bet

buy $1100C / sell $1140C 2026-07-02$2K est

Defined-risk spread · defined-risk vertical sized to ~$1,800 net debit — same direction, capped cost. Confirm the live debit on the chain.

✓ Momentum confirmedLLY +16% in 30d — green-day continuation· Stock +16% in 30d — confirmation of breakout. Backtest: green-day entries with +5–15% pre-5d hit 89% wr.

◇ FAIRP/E30.3 vs 24 Biotech medianFCF+$11.8B(16% margin)Rev growth+11%ROE+107%

Signal: GEX flip — dealer flow tailwind

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

View UW data + council reasoning

UW data

· GEX: negative spot $1096.41 · flip $1099.6 · CW $1082.5 · PW $800

· 5d flow: calls $29K vs puts $2K · bias +89%

· Dark pool 5d: $53.6M across 264 prints

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 1.00

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

✓fundamentals×0.30·IV reasonable, insider=neutral

✓technicals×0.40·GEX=negative, 5d $ flow net_bias +88% bullish

2/7PUTCEG $2552026-06-12 · 11d—

SELL PUT · 78-14% 30dcsp income›

The final readSELL PUTconviction 78/100

SELL PUT: betting on CEG income from selling premium. Why: all 3 specialists agree.

Place this order

sell $255P 2026-06-12 — limit $3.48 credit or better (GTC)

Signal recordCSP_INCOME 100%over 1 tracked trades · $65 shadow P&L

Fairly valued — This company generates real cash (free cash flow +$1.1B/yr — money left after running the business); decent returns on shareholder money (ROE 16%); priced at 24× earnings (richer than the ~22× sector norm).

✓In AI thesis universe (T2-ACTIVE)

✓3-specialist council: STRONG

✓Signal track record: CSP_INCOME 100% over 1 trades

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: fair

✓Sizing: within budget

2/7T2-ACTIVE

✓✓✓STRONG

Action

Sell to open CEG $255P 2026-06-12

@ ~$3.48 or better, GTC

Collect

$348

Cash needed

$26K

Annualized

45%

DTE

11d

◇ FAIRP/E24.3 vs 22 Nuclear/Utilities medianFCF+$1.1B(4% margin)ROE+16%

Signal: Put-wall income

BTC target: $1.74 (50% profit)

If assigned: own at effective $251.52

View UW data + council reasoning

UW data

· GEX: unknown spot $274.25 · flip $ · CW $300 · PW $250

· 5d flow: calls $73K vs puts $49K · bias +20%

· Dark pool 5d: $126.8M across 286 prints

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 1.00

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

✓fundamentals×0.30·no earnings in window, insider=neutral

✓technicals×0.40·put_wall ALIGNED at strike, flow not avalanche-bearish

3/7CALLWDC $5602026-07-02 · 31d—

BUY · 77+24% 30d · healthy rungex flip›

The final readBUYconviction 77/100

BUY: betting on WDC upside. Why: council split. Also: GEX_FLIP signal wins 70% (73 trades tracked).

Place this order

buy $560C / sell $600C 2026-07-02 — net debit ≤ $1,800

Signal recordGEX_FLIP 70%over 73 tracked trades · $74K shadow P&L

✓In AI thesis universe (T1-RH)

○3-specialist council: HOLD

✓Signal track record: GEX_FLIP 70% over 73 trades

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: n/a

○Sizing: single leg too big — resized to a spread

3/7T1-RH

·· ·HOLD

Action

Buy 1× WDC $560C 2026-07-02

@ ~$51.50 on green-day continuation

Premium

~$51.50

Cost

$5K

DTE

31d

Score

62/100

↓ Smaller versionsingle leg ≈ $5K — too rich for a momentum bet

buy $560C / sell $600C 2026-07-02$2K est

Defined-risk spread · defined-risk vertical sized to ~$1,800 net debit — same direction, capped cost. Confirm the live debit on the chain.

✓ Momentum confirmedWDC +24% in 30d — green-day continuation· Stock +24% in 30d — confirmation of breakout. Backtest: green-day entries with +5–15% pre-5d hit 89% wr.

Signal: GEX flip — dealer flow tailwind

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

View UW data + council reasoning

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 0.30

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

·fundamentals×0.30·no UW intel

·technicals×0.40·no UW intel available

4/7CALLSPX $76452026-07-17 · 46d—

BUY · 71gex flip›

The final readBUYconviction 71/100

BUY: betting on SPX upside. Why: council split. Also: GEX_FLIP signal wins 70% (73 trades tracked).

Place this order

buy $7645C / sell $7685C 2026-07-17 — net debit ≤ $1,800

Signal recordGEX_FLIP 70%over 73 tracked trades · $74K shadow P&L

✓In AI thesis universe (T3-UW)

○3-specialist council: HOLD

✓Signal track record: GEX_FLIP 70% over 73 trades

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: n/a

○Sizing: single leg too big — resized to a spread

4/7T3-UW

·· ·HOLD

Action

Buy 1× SPX $7645C 2026-07-17

@ ~$127.20 on green-day continuation

Premium

~$127.20

Cost

$13K

DTE

46d

Score

62/100

↓ Smaller versionsingle leg ≈ $13K — too rich for a momentum bet

buy $7645C / sell $7685C 2026-07-17$2K est

Defined-risk spread · defined-risk vertical sized to ~$1,800 net debit — same direction, capped cost. Confirm the live debit on the chain.

SPY $764C 2026-07-17 (1 contract)$1K est

ETF proxy · SPY tracks SPX at ~10% notional — same trade, a fraction of the ticket.

Signal: GEX flip — dealer flow tailwind

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

View UW data + council reasoning

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 0.30

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

·fundamentals×0.30·no UW intel

·technicals×0.40·no UW intel available

5/7PUTALAB $3532026-07-06 · 35d—

put overextended›

5/7EXTRA

·· ·HOLD

Action

Buy 1× ALAB $353C 2026-07-06

@ ~$22.47 est. on red-day setup

Premium

~$22.47

Cost

$2K

DTE

35d

Score

69/100

◆ Risk-based size1% of $180K = $2K at risk on a −50% stop

→ buy 1 contract · ticket $2K · max loss $1K

Why this play

Stock +65% in 30d, RSI 77 (overbought), red today — mean-reversion setup. Suggested $353 put expiring 2026-07-06 (35 DTE). Smaller size — parabolic shorts can extend further than logic suggests.

Signal: PUT_OVEREXTENDED

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

6/7PUTMRVL $1952026-07-17 · 46d—

WATCH · 54+22% 30d · healthy runuw put flow›

The final readWATCHconviction 54/100

WATCH: betting on MRVL downside. Why: council split. Also: momentum confirmed, not yet stretched.

Place this order

buy $195P 2026-07-17 — limit $16.48 debit or better

Fairly valued — This company generates real cash (free cash flow +$1.7B/yr — money left after running the business); growing modestly (+19% revenue/yr); decent returns on shareholder money (ROE 16%); priced at 45× earnings (richer than the ~32× sector norm).

✓In AI thesis universe (T1-RH)

○3-specialist council: HOLD

○Signal track record: new signal, no history yet

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: fair

✓Sizing: within budget

6/7T1-RH

·· ·HOLD

Action

Buy 1× MRVL $195C 2026-07-17

@ ~$16.48 on red-day setup

Premium

~$16.48

Cost

$2K

DTE

46d

Score

54/100

◆ Risk-based size1% of $180K = $2K at risk on a −50% stop

→ buy 2 contracts · ticket $3K · max loss $2K

✓ Momentum confirmedMRVL +22% in 30d — green-day continuation· Stock +22% in 30d — confirmation of breakout. Backtest: green-day entries with +5–15% pre-5d hit 89% wr.

◇ FAIRP/E45.3 vs 32 Semiconductors medianFCF+$1.7B(19% margin)Rev growth+19%ROE+16%

Signal: UW_PUT_FLOW

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

View UW data + council reasoning

UW data

· GEX: positive spot $207.53 · flip $35.42 · CW $160 · PW $130

· 5d flow: calls $162K vs puts $91K · bias +28%

· Dark pool 5d: $110.1M across 500 prints

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 0.30

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

·technicals×0.40·unknown kind

7/7PUTETN $3802026-07-17 · 46d—

WATCH · 41-8% 30duw put flow›

The final readWATCHconviction 41/100

WATCH: betting on ETN downside. Why: council split.

Place this order

buy $380P 2026-07-17 — limit $12.70 debit or better

Fairly valued — This company generates real cash (free cash flow +$3.8B/yr — money left after running the business); growing modestly (+11% revenue/yr); strong returns on shareholder money (ROE 21%); priced at 29× earnings (richer than the ~22× sector norm).

✓In AI thesis universe (T3-UW)

○3-specialist council: HOLD

○Signal track record: new signal, no history yet

✓Position-aware: unheld

✓Entry timing: not chasing a parabolic move

✓Valuation: fair

✓Sizing: within budget

7/7T3-UW

·· ·HOLD

Action

Buy 1× ETN $380C 2026-07-17

@ ~$12.70 on red-day setup

Premium

~$12.70

Cost

$1K

DTE

46d

Score

47/100

◆ Risk-based size1% of $180K = $2K at risk on a −50% stop

→ buy 2 contracts · ticket $3K · max loss $1K

◇ FAIRP/E28.9 vs 22 Nuclear/Utilities medianFCF+$3.8B(13% margin)Rev growth+11%ROE+21%

Signal: UW_PUT_FLOW

Target: +80% (trim 50% there)

Stop: -50%

View UW data + council reasoning

UW data

· GEX: positive spot $401.44 · flip $131.11 · CW $360 · PW $340

· 5d flow: calls $88K vs puts $34K · bias +44%

· Dark pool 5d: $12.8M across 30 prints

Council reasoning

NORMAL·M 30% / F 30% / T 40%·score 0.30

✓macro×0.30·VIX regime NORMAL

·technicals×0.40·unknown kind

🚨 1 open legs at ±50% — review/manage (click to expand)

SPY $775 CC_LEAPS 2027-01-15: -74% — BTC or roll

🗑 3 candidates dropped (click to view reasons)

Play	Signal	Reason
NVTS $23P 2026-07-17	CSP_INCOME	signal-quality
LMT $535C 2026-07-02	GEX_FLIP	off-thesis
SPY $560C 2026-07-17	MACRO_HEDGE	layered+HOLD

→ Full signal track records live on the Shadow page

Suggestion validity: scout refreshes 7:05am + 12:05pm PT (Mon-Fri). CSPs valid until expiry, long calls until premium drifts >15% from this quote.